Stock Analysis

Banco BPM (BIT:BAMI) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At €0.23

BIT:BAMI
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Banco BPM S.p.A. (BIT:BAMI) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 26th of April to €0.23. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 5.5%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Banco BPM's stock price has increased by 35% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

Check out our latest analysis for Banco BPM

Banco BPM's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable.

Having paid out dividends for only 2 years, Banco BPM does not have much of a history being a dividend paying company. Diving into the company's earnings report, the payout ratio is set at 48%, which is a decent ratio of dividend payout to earnings, and may sustain future dividends if the company stays at its current trend.

Over the next 3 years, EPS is forecast to expand by 5.5%. The future payout ratio could be 50% over that time period, according to analyst estimates, which is a good look for the future of the dividend.

historic-dividend
BIT:BAMI Historic Dividend February 11th 2023

Banco BPM Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

Looking back, the dividend has been stable, but the company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long so we can't be confident that the dividend will remain stable through all economic environments. Since 2021, the dividend has gone from €0.06 total annually to €0.23. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 96% over that duration. Banco BPM has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Growth of may indicate that the company has limited investment opportunity so it is returning its earnings to shareholders instead. This isn't bad in itself, but unless earnings growth pick up we wouldn't expect dividends to grow either.

Our Thoughts On Banco BPM's Dividend

Overall, it's great to see the dividend being raised and that it is still in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Banco BPM that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.