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Tata Power (NSE:TATAPOWER) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Tata Power (NSE:TATAPOWER) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Tata Power is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.058 = ₹45b ÷ (₹1.2t - ₹451b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
So, Tata Power has an ROCE of 5.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Electric Utilities industry average of 7.3%.
Check out our latest analysis for Tata Power
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Tata Power compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Tata Power here for free.
SWOT Analysis for Tata Power
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
- Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Electric Utilities market.
- Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
- Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
- Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Indian market.
What Can We Tell From Tata Power's ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Tata Power, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 9.5%, but since then they've fallen to 5.8%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
On a side note, Tata Power has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 37% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
In Conclusion...
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Tata Power. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 157% to shareholders in the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Tata Power (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TATAPOWER
Tata Power
Engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and trading of electricity in India and internationally.
Average dividend payer with acceptable track record.