Stock Analysis

Mahanagar Gas (NSE:MGL) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

NSEI:MGL
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Mahanagar Gas Limited's (NSE:MGL ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. Our analysis showed that there are some concerning factors in the earnings that investors may be cautious of.

See our latest analysis for Mahanagar Gas

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:MGL Earnings and Revenue History November 1st 2024

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Importantly, our data indicates that Mahanagar Gas' profit received a boost of ₹964m in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Mahanagar Gas' Profit Performance

Arguably, Mahanagar Gas' statutory earnings have been distorted by unusual items boosting profit. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Mahanagar Gas' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 36% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Mahanagar Gas you should be aware of.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Mahanagar Gas' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.