Stock Analysis

What Does KPI Green Energy Limited's (NSE:KPIGREEN) Share Price Indicate?

NSEI:KPIGREEN
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While KPI Green Energy Limited (NSE:KPIGREEN) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NSEI, rising to highs of ₹1,099 and falling to the lows of ₹783. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether KPI Green Energy's current trading price of ₹856 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at KPI Green Energy’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for KPI Green Energy

What Is KPI Green Energy Worth?

According to our price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. We find that KPI Green Energy’s ratio of 52.96x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 46.34x, which means if you buy KPI Green Energy today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe that KPI Green Energy should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. Furthermore, it seems like KPI Green Energy’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s priced similarly to industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

Can we expect growth from KPI Green Energy?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:KPIGREEN Earnings and Revenue Growth October 3rd 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. In KPI Green Energy's case, its revenues are expected to grow by 54% over the next year, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. If expense does not increase by the same rate, or higher, this top line growth should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in KPIGREEN’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at KPIGREEN? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on KPIGREEN, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for KPIGREEN, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (1 is significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in KPI Green Energy.

If you are no longer interested in KPI Green Energy, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.