Stock Analysis

Is Adani Total Gas (NSE:ATGL) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:ATGL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Adani Total Gas Limited (NSE:ATGL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Adani Total Gas

How Much Debt Does Adani Total Gas Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Adani Total Gas had debt of ₹13.6b, up from ₹12.0b in one year. However, it does have ₹3.27b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹10.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ATGL Debt to Equity History March 3rd 2024

A Look At Adani Total Gas' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Adani Total Gas had liabilities of ₹22.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹4.64b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹3.27b and ₹3.74b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹20.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This state of affairs indicates that Adani Total Gas' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the ₹1.14t company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Adani Total Gas has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Adani Total Gas has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.0. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 14.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Another good sign is that Adani Total Gas has been able to increase its EBIT by 24% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Adani Total Gas's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Adani Total Gas saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

The good news is that Adani Total Gas's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. It's also worth noting that Adani Total Gas is in the Gas Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. All these things considered, it appears that Adani Total Gas can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Adani Total Gas you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.