Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To JSW Infrastructure Limited (NSE:JSWINFRA) With Shares Advancing 26%

NSEI:JSWINFRA
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JSW Infrastructure Limited (NSE:JSWINFRA) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider JSW Infrastructure as a stock to avoid entirely with its 47.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, JSW Infrastructure has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for JSW Infrastructure

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:JSWINFRA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 24th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on JSW Infrastructure.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, JSW Infrastructure would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 81% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 88% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 16% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 25% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's alarming that JSW Infrastructure's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has got JSW Infrastructure's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of JSW Infrastructure's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for JSW Infrastructure with six simple checks.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether JSW Infrastructure is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.