Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Bharat Road Network Limited (NSE:BRNL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Bharat Road Network's Debt?
As you can see below, Bharat Road Network had ₹13.7b of debt at September 2023, down from ₹14.5b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹2.48b, its net debt is less, at about ₹11.2b.
A Look At Bharat Road Network's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Bharat Road Network had liabilities of ₹7.91b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹15.9b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹2.48b and ₹508.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹20.8b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹4.21b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Bharat Road Network would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bharat Road Network will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Bharat Road Network wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 39%, to ₹3.8b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate Bharat Road Network's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost a very considerable ₹554m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost ₹2.6b in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Bharat Road Network you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About NSEI:BRNL
Bharat Road Network
Owns, designs, develops, builds, and operates transfers road and related services in India.
Good value with imperfect balance sheet.