Stock Analysis

HFCL's (NSE:HFCL) five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth

Buying shares in the best businesses can build meaningful wealth for you and your family. And we've seen some truly amazing gains over the years. For example, the HFCL Limited (NSE:HFCL) share price is up a whopping 502% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 22% gain in the last three months. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 12% in the last three months. We love happy stories like this one. The company should be really proud of that performance!

While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

View our latest analysis for HFCL

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over half a decade, HFCL managed to grow its earnings per share at 5.3% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 43% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This favorable sentiment is reflected in its (fairly optimistic) P/E ratio of 52.78.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:HFCL Earnings Per Share Growth July 13th 2024

Dive deeper into HFCL's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of HFCL's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Advertisement

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, HFCL's TSR for the last 5 years was 509%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that HFCL shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 89% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 44% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand HFCL better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for HFCL that you should be aware of.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HFCL might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:HFCL

HFCL

Manufactures and sells telecom products in India and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet with very low risk.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
68 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
20 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
FID logo
Robbo on Fiducian Group ·

Fiducian: Compliance Clouds or Value Opportunity?

Fair Value:AU$123.9% undervalued
11 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WO
WVVI logo
woodworthfund on Willamette Valley Vineyards ·

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI): Not-So-Great Value

Fair Value:US$242.5% overvalued
11 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

EN
HSBKL logo
Enemy on Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan ·

Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan will see revenue grow 11% as their future PE reaches 3.2x soon

Fair Value:US$52.2351.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
IN
MGMA logo
IncomeAssets on Magma Silver ·

Silver's Breakout to over $50US will make Magma’s future shine with drill sampling returning 115g/t Silver and 2.3 g/t Gold at its Peru Mine

Fair Value:CA$0.3534.3% undervalued
5 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
CO
SGRO logo
composite32 on SEGRO ·

SEGRO's Revenue to Rise 14.7% Amidst Optimistic Growth Plans

Fair Value:UK£9.3925.9% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
118 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3927.2% undervalued
961 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
68 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
20 users have liked this narrative