Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Bharti Airtel Limited (NSE:BHARTIARTL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Bharti Airtel
What Is Bharti Airtel's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Bharti Airtel had debt of ₹1.59t at the end of December 2023, a reduction from ₹1.67t over a year. On the flip side, it has ₹230.2b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.36t.
How Strong Is Bharti Airtel's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Bharti Airtel had liabilities of ₹1.33t falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.09t due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹230.2b as well as receivables valued at ₹55.1b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹3.14t.
Bharti Airtel has a very large market capitalization of ₹6.65t, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Even though Bharti Airtel's debt is only 2.0, its interest cover is really very low at 2.5. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. If Bharti Airtel can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 17% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bharti Airtel's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Bharti Airtel produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 65% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Bharti Airtel's interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we thought its EBIT growth rate was a positive. Considering this range of data points, we think Bharti Airtel is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Bharti Airtel (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:BHARTIARTL
Bharti Airtel
Operates as a telecommunications company in India and internationally.
High growth potential with proven track record and pays a dividend.