Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Tech Mahindra Limited (NSE:TECHM)
Tech Mahindra Limited's (NSE:TECHM) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.9x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Tech Mahindra hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, Tech Mahindra would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 46% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 33% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 43% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 20% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Tech Mahindra is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Tech Mahindra maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Tech Mahindra that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Tech Mahindra's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TECHM
Tech Mahindra
Provides information technology services and solutions in the Americas, Europe, India, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.