Despite the downward trend in earnings at OnMobile Global (NSE:ONMOBILE) the stock spikes 18%, bringing five-year gains to 168%
When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. Long term OnMobile Global Limited (NSE:ONMOBILE) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 141% in five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 21% gain in the last three months. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 9.5% in the last three months.
The past week has proven to be lucrative for OnMobile Global investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
View our latest analysis for OnMobile Global
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During five years of share price growth, OnMobile Global actually saw its EPS drop 4.3% per year.
So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.
The revenue reduction of 2.8% per year is not a positive. It certainly surprises us that the share price is up, but perhaps a closer examination of the data will yield answers.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
Take a more thorough look at OnMobile Global's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between OnMobile Global's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. OnMobile Global's TSR of 168% for the 5 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
A Different Perspective
OnMobile Global provided a TSR of 2.3% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 22% per year for five years. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with OnMobile Global (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ONMOBILE
OnMobile Global
Provides telecom value added services in India, Europe, Africa, Latin America, the United States, and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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