Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In CE Info Systems Ltd. (NSE:MAPMYINDIA) As Shares Slide 29%

NSEI:MAPMYINDIA
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CE Info Systems Ltd. (NSE:MAPMYINDIA) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Although its price has dipped substantially, CE Info Systems' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 74.1x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 20x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, CE Info Systems has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for CE Info Systems

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NSEI:MAPMYINDIA Price Based on Past Earnings May 12th 2022
Keen to find out how analysts think CE Info Systems' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For CE Info Systems?

CE Info Systems' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 64% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 85% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 2.3% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 22% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that CE Info Systems is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, CE Info Systems' P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of CE Info Systems' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for CE Info Systems that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether C. E. Info Systems is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.