Is 8K Miles Software Services (NSE:8KMILES) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that 8K Miles Software Services Limited (NSE:8KMILES) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for 8K Miles Software Services
How Much Debt Does 8K Miles Software Services Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 8K Miles Software Services had debt of ₹1.34b, up from ₹997.3m in one year. However, it also had ₹143.8m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.19b.
How Strong Is 8K Miles Software Services' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that 8K Miles Software Services had liabilities of ₹1.36b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹803.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹143.8m and ₹386.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.64b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹2.44b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
8K Miles Software Services's debt of just -0.30 times EBITDA is clearly modest. But EBIT was only 1.4 times the interest expense last year, which shows that the debt has negatively impacted the business, by constraining its options (and restricting its free cash flow). Notably, 8K Miles Software Services made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of ₹180m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since 8K Miles Software Services will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, 8K Miles Software Services actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
8K Miles Software Services's net debt to EBITDA was a real positive on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about 8K Miles Software Services's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that 8K Miles Software Services is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About NSEI:SECURKLOUD
SecureKloud Technologies
Provides information and technology services in India, the United States, Canada, Ireland, and Australia.
Slight and slightly overvalued.