David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, 3i Infotech Limited (NSE:3IINFOTECH) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for 3i Infotech
What Is 3i Infotech's Net Debt?
As you can see below, 3i Infotech had ₹7.42b of debt at September 2020, down from ₹8.71b a year prior. However, it also had ₹3.16b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹4.26b.
How Healthy Is 3i Infotech's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that 3i Infotech had liabilities of ₹3.20b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹8.14b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹3.16b in cash and ₹2.12b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹6.06b.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since 3i Infotech has a market capitalization of ₹10.6b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While 3i Infotech has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.4, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.3. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. We saw 3i Infotech grow its EBIT by 7.0% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since 3i Infotech will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, 3i Infotech actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
On our analysis 3i Infotech's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. To be specific, it seems about as good at covering its interest expense with its EBIT as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about 3i Infotech's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for 3i Infotech (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About NSEI:3IINFOLTD
3i Infotech
Provides IP based software solutions in India, the United States, the United Kingdom, the Middle East, Africa, South Asia, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.