Stock Analysis

Is Omaxe (NSE:OMAXE) A Risky Investment?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Omaxe Limited (NSE:OMAXE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Omaxe

What Is Omaxe's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Omaxe had ₹10.3b of debt in March 2021, down from ₹14.9b, one year before. However, it also had ₹4.85b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹5.42b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:OMAXE Debt to Equity History August 11th 2021

How Strong Is Omaxe's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Omaxe had liabilities of ₹84.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹11.9b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹4.85b and ₹4.41b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹86.9b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹14.3b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Omaxe would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Omaxe will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Omaxe had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 58%, to ₹4.8b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Omaxe's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable ₹1.8b at the EBIT level. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost ₹2.4b in the last year. So we're not very excited about owning this stock. Its too risky for us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Omaxe (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About NSEI:OMAXE

Omaxe

Engages in real estate development activities in India.

Good value with imperfect balance sheet.

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