Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Ganesh Housing Corporation Limited's (NSE:GANESHHOUC) Muted Earnings Despite A 27% Share Price Rise

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NSEI:GANESHHOUC

Ganesh Housing Corporation Limited (NSE:GANESHHOUC) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. The last month tops off a massive increase of 140% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Ganesh Housing may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.8x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 34x and even P/E's higher than 66x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Ganesh Housing has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Ganesh Housing

NSEI:GANESHHOUC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 17th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ganesh Housing will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ganesh Housing would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 66%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Ganesh Housing's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Ganesh Housing's P/E close to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Ganesh Housing maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Ganesh Housing, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.