Stock Analysis

Arihant Superstructures' (NSE:ARIHANTSUP) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

NSEI:ARIHANTSUP
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Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Arihant Superstructures Limited's (NSE:ARIHANTSUP) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

View our latest analysis for Arihant Superstructures

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:ARIHANTSUP Earnings and Revenue History May 23rd 2024

Zooming In On Arihant Superstructures' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Arihant Superstructures recorded an accrual ratio of 0.27. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of ₹636.2m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through ₹1.2b in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of ₹1.2b, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Arihant Superstructures.

Our Take On Arihant Superstructures' Profit Performance

Arihant Superstructures' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Arihant Superstructures' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Arihant Superstructures, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Arihant Superstructures has 3 warning signs (and 2 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Arihant Superstructures' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.