NATCO Pharma Limited (NSE:NATCOPHARM) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 30%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the NATCO Pharma Limited (NSE:NATCOPHARM) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 18% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, NATCO Pharma's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 27x and even P/E's above 51x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Recent times have been advantageous for NATCO Pharma as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for NATCO Pharma
How Is NATCO Pharma's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, NATCO Pharma would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 47% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 594% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 0.9% during the coming year according to the eleven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 26% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that NATCO Pharma's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From NATCO Pharma's P/E?
NATCO Pharma's P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that NATCO Pharma maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for NATCO Pharma (1 is concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on NATCO Pharma, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NATCO Pharma might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NATCOPHARM
NATCO Pharma
A pharmaceutical company, engages in the developing, manufacturing, and marketing of finished dosage formulations, active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), and intermediates in India, the United States, and internationally.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.
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