Stock Analysis

Gufic Biosciences (NSE:GUFICBIO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NSEI:GUFICBIO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Gufic Biosciences Limited (NSE:GUFICBIO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Gufic Biosciences

What Is Gufic Biosciences's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Gufic Biosciences had ₹1.20b of debt, up from ₹1.13b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹113.4m, its net debt is less, at about ₹1.08b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GUFICBIO Debt to Equity History February 12th 2021

How Strong Is Gufic Biosciences' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Gufic Biosciences had liabilities of ₹2.02b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹561.0m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹113.4m and ₹994.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹1.48b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Gufic Biosciences has a market capitalization of ₹9.11b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Gufic Biosciences's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.9 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.2 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. We note that Gufic Biosciences grew its EBIT by 26% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Gufic Biosciences's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Gufic Biosciences actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

On our analysis Gufic Biosciences's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. To be specific, it seems about as good at converting EBIT to free cash flow as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Gufic Biosciences's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Gufic Biosciences that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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