Stock Analysis

Eris Lifesciences Limited (NSE:ERIS) Just Reported Annual Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

NSEI:ERIS
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Eris Lifesciences Limited (NSE:ERIS) last week reported its latest annual results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. It was a pretty mixed result, with revenues beating expectations to hit ₹20b. Statutory earnings fell 4.3% short of analyst forecasts, reaching ₹28.79 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Eris Lifesciences

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NSEI:ERIS Earnings and Revenue Growth May 24th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Eris Lifesciences from nine analysts is for revenues of ₹29.5b in 2025. If met, it would imply a huge 45% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 2.4% to ₹29.50. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹26.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹32.79 in 2025. Although revenues are expected to increase meaningfully, the analysts have acknowledged the cost of growth, given the substantial drop in EPS estimates following the latest report.

There's been no major changes to the price target of ₹1,106, suggesting that the impact of higher forecast revenue and lower earnings won't result in a meaningful change to the business' valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Eris Lifesciences at ₹1,270 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹950. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Eris Lifesciences' past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Eris Lifesciences' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 45% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 15% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 10% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Eris Lifesciences to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Eris Lifesciences. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹1,106, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Eris Lifesciences analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Eris Lifesciences (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.