Stock Analysis

We Think Dish TV India (NSE:DISHTV) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NSEI:DISHTV
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Dish TV India Limited (NSE:DISHTV) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Dish TV India

What Is Dish TV India's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Dish TV India had debt of ₹3.76b at the end of March 2022, a reduction from ₹8.62b over a year. On the flip side, it has ₹1.82b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.93b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:DISHTV Debt to Equity History June 17th 2022

How Strong Is Dish TV India's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Dish TV India had liabilities of ₹56.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹1.05b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹1.82b and ₹956.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹55.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹20.3b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Dish TV India would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Given net debt is only 0.12 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Dish TV India's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.8 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Dish TV India grew its EBIT by 9.7% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dish TV India's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Dish TV India actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

While Dish TV India's level of total liabilities has us nervous. To wit both its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA were encouraging signs. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Dish TV India is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Dish TV India .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.