Cyber Media (India) Limited (NSE:CYBERMEDIA) Surges 39% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement
Cyber Media (India) Limited (NSE:CYBERMEDIA) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 39% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 121% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Although its price has surged higher, Cyber Media (India)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 66x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
For instance, Cyber Media (India)'s receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Cyber Media (India)
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Cyber Media (India) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Any Growth For Cyber Media (India)?
Cyber Media (India)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 16%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why Cyber Media (India) is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Shares in Cyber Media (India) are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Cyber Media (India) revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Cyber Media (India) is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those are concerning.
You might be able to find a better investment than Cyber Media (India). If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:CYBERMEDIA
Cyber Media (India)
Engages in the print and digital media businesses in India and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.