Zuari Agro Chemicals Limited's (NSE:ZUARI) Shares Bounce 34% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
Zuari Agro Chemicals Limited (NSE:ZUARI) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 26% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Zuari Agro Chemicals may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.4x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 57x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Zuari Agro Chemicals as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Zuari Agro Chemicals
How Is Zuari Agro Chemicals' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zuari Agro Chemicals would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 65% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 31% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Zuari Agro Chemicals is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
What We Can Learn From Zuari Agro Chemicals' P/E?
Zuari Agro Chemicals' recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Zuari Agro Chemicals maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Zuari Agro Chemicals is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.