Stock Analysis

Visaka Industries's (NSE:VISAKAIND) Earnings Are Growing But Is There More To The Story?

NSEI:VISAKAIND
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As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing Visaka Industries (NSE:VISAKAIND).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Visaka Industries made a profit of ₹697.0m on revenue of ₹9.81b. In the chart below, you can see that its profit and revenue have both grown over the last three years, although its revenue has slipped in the last twelve months.

View our latest analysis for Visaka Industries

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:VISAKAIND Earnings and Revenue History November 18th 2020

Importantly, statutory profits are not always the best tool for understanding a company's true earnings power, so it's well worth examining profits in a little more detail. As a result, we think it's well worth considering what Visaka Industries' cashflow (when compared to its earnings) can tell us about the nature of its statutory profit. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Visaka Industries.

Zooming In On Visaka Industries' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to September 2020, Visaka Industries recorded an accrual ratio of -0.18. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ₹1.9b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of ₹697.0m. Visaka Industries' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Our Take On Visaka Industries' Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Visaka Industries produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Visaka Industries' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 35% annually, over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Visaka Industries you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Visaka Industries' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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