Stock Analysis

Do UPL's (NSE:UPL) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

NSEI:UPL
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It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

If this kind of company isn't your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in UPL (NSE:UPL). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide UPL with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for UPL

How Fast Is UPL Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

Over the last three years, UPL has grown earnings per share (EPS) at as impressive rate from a relatively low point, resulting in a three year percentage growth rate that isn't particularly indicative of expected future performance. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. UPL's EPS shot up from ₹39.34 to ₹51.77; a result that's bound to keep shareholders happy. That's a impressive gain of 32%.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. UPL maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 23% to ₹505b. That's a real positive.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:UPL Earnings and Revenue History January 17th 2023

Of course the knack is to find stocks that have their best days in the future, not in the past. You could base your opinion on past performance, of course, but you may also want to check this interactive graph of professional analyst EPS forecasts for UPL.

Are UPL Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a ₹536b company like UPL. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at ₹9.6b. Investors will appreciate management having this amount of skin in the game as it shows their commitment to the company's future.

Does UPL Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into UPL's strong EPS growth. This EPS growth rate is something the company should be proud of, and so it's no surprise that insiders are holding on to a considerable chunk of shares. Fast growth and confident insiders should be enough to warrant further research, so it would seem that it's a good stock to follow. It's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with UPL , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

Although UPL certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.