Stock Analysis

Tata Chemicals (NSE:TATACHEM) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

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NSEI:TATACHEM

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Tata Chemicals (NSE:TATACHEM) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Tata Chemicals:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.047 = ₹14b ÷ (₹368b - ₹61b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

So, Tata Chemicals has an ROCE of 4.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 14%.

View our latest analysis for Tata Chemicals

NSEI:TATACHEM Return on Capital Employed October 14th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Tata Chemicals compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Tata Chemicals .

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Tata Chemicals, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 7.1%, but since then they've fallen to 4.7%. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

What We Can Learn From Tata Chemicals' ROCE

From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Tata Chemicals have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. The market must be rosy on the stock's future because even though the underlying trends aren't too encouraging, the stock has soared 381%. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.

If you want to continue researching Tata Chemicals, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.