Stock Analysis

Here's Why Tata Chemicals (NSE:TATACHEM) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NSEI:TATACHEM
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Tata Chemicals Limited (NSE:TATACHEM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Tata Chemicals

How Much Debt Does Tata Chemicals Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Tata Chemicals had ₹63.0b of debt in March 2023, down from ₹70.4b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹19.3b, its net debt is less, at about ₹43.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TATACHEM Debt to Equity History September 29th 2023

How Strong Is Tata Chemicals' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tata Chemicals had liabilities of ₹49.0b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹95.4b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹19.3b in cash and ₹32.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹92.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Tata Chemicals has a market capitalization of ₹258.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Tata Chemicals's net debt is only 1.1 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 12.0 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Tata Chemicals has boosted its EBIT by 56%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tata Chemicals's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Tata Chemicals recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Tata Chemicals's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Tata Chemicals takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Tata Chemicals .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.