Stock Analysis

Analysts Are Updating Their SRF Limited (NSE:SRF) Estimates After Its Yearly Results

NSEI:SRF
Source: Shutterstock

Investors in SRF Limited (NSE:SRF) had a good week, as its shares rose 4.6% to close at ₹2,312 following the release of its full-year results. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of ₹131b and statutory earnings per share of ₹45.06 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that SRF is executing in line with expectations. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on SRF after the latest results.

View our latest analysis for SRF

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:SRF Earnings and Revenue Growth June 9th 2024

After the latest results, the 27 analysts covering SRF are now predicting revenues of ₹151.4b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a meaningful 15% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 28% to ₹57.70. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹151.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹64.97 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a real cut to EPS estimates.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at ₹2,400, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on SRF, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹2,901 and the most bearish at ₹1,606 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of SRF'shistorical trends, as the 15% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 17% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 11% annually. So it's pretty clear that SRF is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for SRF. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for SRF going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for SRF you should know about.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SRF is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.