Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shree Cement Limited's (NSE:SHREECEM) Price

NSEI:SHREECEM
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Shree Cement Limited's (NSE:SHREECEM) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.9x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Shree Cement as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Shree Cement

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SHREECEM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shree Cement will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Shree Cement's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Shree Cement's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 89% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 16% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 21% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shree Cement is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Shree Cement's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Shree Cement is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Shree Cement. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shree Cement is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.