Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Put Sagar Cements (NSE:SAGCEM) On Your Watchlist?

NSEI:SAGCEM
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.'

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Sagar Cements (NSE:SAGCEM). Even if the shares are fully valued today, most capitalists would recognize its profits as the demonstration of steady value generation. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

See our latest analysis for Sagar Cements

Sagar Cements's Improving Profits

In the last three years Sagar Cements's earnings per share took off like a rocket; fast, and from a low base. So the actual rate of growth doesn't tell us much. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. Like the last firework on New Year's Eve accelerating into the sky, Sagar Cements's EPS shot from ₹20.82 to ₹60.38, over the last year. Year on year growth of 190% is certainly a sight to behold.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). This approach makes Sagar Cements look pretty good, on balance; although revenue is flattish, EBIT margins improved from 10% to 21% in the last year. That's something to smile about.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:SAGCEM Earnings and Revenue History March 8th 2021

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Sagar Cements's forecast profits?

Are Sagar Cements Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like the kids in the streets standing up for their beliefs, insider share purchases give me reason to believe in a brighter future. Because oftentimes, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

One positive for Sagar Cements, is that company insiders paid ₹2.1m for shares in the last year. While this isn't much, we also note an absence of sales.

On top of the insider buying, we can also see that Sagar Cements insiders own a large chunk of the company. Actually, with 39% of the company to their names, insiders are profoundly invested in the business. I'm reassured by this kind of alignment, as it suggests the business will be run for the benefit of shareholders. With that sort of holding, insiders have about ₹6.6b riding on the stock, at current prices. That should be more than enough to keep them focussed on creating shareholder value!

Does Sagar Cements Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Sagar Cements's earnings per share have taken off like a rocket aimed right at the moon. What's more insiders own a significant stake in the company and have been buying more shares. Because of the potential that it has reached an inflection point, I'd suggest Sagar Cements belongs on the top of your watchlist. However, before you get too excited we've discovered 2 warning signs for Sagar Cements that you should be aware of.

The good news is that Sagar Cements is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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