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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ratnamani Metals & Tubes (NSE:RATNAMANI)
The subdued market reaction suggests that Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Limited's (NSE:RATNAMANI) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.
View our latest analysis for Ratnamani Metals & Tubes
A Closer Look At Ratnamani Metals & Tubes' Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to September 2024, Ratnamani Metals & Tubes had an accrual ratio of 0.21. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of ₹1.1b despite its profit of ₹5.31b, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was ₹2.9b a year ago though, so Ratnamani Metals & Tubes has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Ratnamani Metals & Tubes' Profit Performance
Ratnamani Metals & Tubes didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Ratnamani Metals & Tubes' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Ratnamani Metals & Tubes, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ratnamani Metals & Tubes (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Ratnamani Metals & Tubes' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:RATNAMANI
Ratnamani Metals & Tubes
Manufactures and sells stainless steel pipes and tubes, and carbon steel pipes in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.