Stock Analysis

Does Privi Speciality Chemicals (NSE:PRIVISCL) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:PRIVISCL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Privi Speciality Chemicals Limited (NSE:PRIVISCL) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Privi Speciality Chemicals

How Much Debt Does Privi Speciality Chemicals Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, Privi Speciality Chemicals had ₹10.9b of debt, up from ₹9.33b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹271.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹10.6b.

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NSEI:PRIVISCL Debt to Equity History September 5th 2023

How Strong Is Privi Speciality Chemicals' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Privi Speciality Chemicals had liabilities of ₹11.0b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹4.54b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹271.8m in cash and ₹3.47b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹11.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Privi Speciality Chemicals has a market capitalization of ₹47.5b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.80 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.1 hit our confidence in Privi Speciality Chemicals like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Privi Speciality Chemicals saw its EBIT tank 44% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Privi Speciality Chemicals will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Privi Speciality Chemicals saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Privi Speciality Chemicals's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider Privi Speciality Chemicals to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Privi Speciality Chemicals has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Privi Speciality Chemicals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.