Stock Analysis

While shareholders of Orient Paper & Industries (NSE:ORIENTPPR) are in the black over 5 years, those who bought a week ago aren't so fortunate

NSEI:ORIENTPPR
Source: Shutterstock

Orient Paper & Industries Limited (NSE:ORIENTPPR) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 26% in the last quarter. But the silver lining is the stock is up over five years. Unfortunately its return of 46% is below the market return of 169%.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 10%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

View our latest analysis for Orient Paper & Industries

Orient Paper & Industries isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

For the last half decade, Orient Paper & Industries can boast revenue growth at a rate of 11% per year. That's a pretty good long term growth rate. While the share price has gained 8% per year for five years, that's hardly amazing considering the market also rose. You could even argue that the share price was over optimistic, previously.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:ORIENTPPR Earnings and Revenue Growth October 26th 2024

Take a more thorough look at Orient Paper & Industries' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Orient Paper & Industries' TSR for the last 5 years was 57%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 42% in the last year, Orient Paper & Industries shareholders lost 14% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Orient Paper & Industries , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.