Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Mukand Limited (NSE:MUKANDLTD) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Mukand
How Much Debt Does Mukand Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Mukand had ₹28.2b of debt, an increase on ₹25.6b, over one year. On the flip side, it has ₹2.78b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹25.4b.
How Healthy Is Mukand's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Mukand had liabilities of ₹17.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹21.3b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹2.78b as well as receivables valued at ₹8.29b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹27.7b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹8.42b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Mukand would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Mukand's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Mukand had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 28%, to ₹24b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Mukand's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₹696m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through ₹1.7b in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Mukand is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:MUKANDLTD
Mukand
Engages in the manufacture and sale of alloy and stainless steel products in India and internationally.
Good value average dividend payer.