Meghmani Finechem Limited's (NSE:MFL) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

By
Simply Wall St
Published
November 22, 2021
NSEI:MFL
Source: Shutterstock

When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Meghmani Finechem Limited (NSE:MFL) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 28.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Meghmani Finechem's financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Meghmani Finechem

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NSEI:MFL Price Based on Past Earnings November 23rd 2021
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Meghmani Finechem, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Meghmani Finechem's Growth Trending?

Meghmani Finechem's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 10% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it concerning that Meghmani Finechem is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Meghmani Finechem revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Meghmani Finechem that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

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