Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Mangalam Organics Limited (NSE:MANORG) Underpins Stock's 28% Plummet

NSEI:MANORG
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Mangalam Organics Limited (NSE:MANORG) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Following the heavy fall in price, Mangalam Organics' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 21x and even P/E's above 46x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Mangalam Organics certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Mangalam Organics

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NSEI:MANORG Price Based on Past Earnings February 16th 2022
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Mangalam Organics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Mangalam Organics?

Mangalam Organics' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 32% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 45% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Mangalam Organics' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Mangalam Organics' P/E

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Mangalam Organics' share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Mangalam Organics revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Mangalam Organics is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Mangalam Organics. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.