Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Mangalam Alloys Limited (NSE:MAL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Mangalam Alloys
How Much Debt Does Mangalam Alloys Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Mangalam Alloys had debt of ₹1.79b, up from ₹1.42b in one year. However, it does have ₹46.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹1.74b.
How Healthy Is Mangalam Alloys' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Mangalam Alloys had liabilities of ₹2.63b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹476.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹46.1m and ₹1.76b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹1.31b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₹1.08b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Strangely Mangalam Alloys has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 6.7, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 13.9. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. Importantly, Mangalam Alloys's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 49% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Mangalam Alloys's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Mangalam Alloys recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
To be frank both Mangalam Alloys's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Mangalam Alloys has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Mangalam Alloys has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MAL
Mangalam Alloys
Manufactures and sells stainless steel and alloys in India.
Adequate balance sheet low.