Stock Analysis

Does Kirloskar Industries (NSE:KIRLOSIND) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:KIRLOSIND
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Kirloskar Industries Limited (NSE:KIRLOSIND) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Kirloskar Industries

How Much Debt Does Kirloskar Industries Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Kirloskar Industries had debt of ₹2.55b, up from ₹2.11b in one year. However, it does have ₹809.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹1.74b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:KIRLOSIND Debt to Equity History December 31st 2020

A Look At Kirloskar Industries's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Kirloskar Industries had liabilities of ₹5.81b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.21b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹809.7m and ₹2.57b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹4.64b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹7.68b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Kirloskar Industries has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.59. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.5 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that Kirloskar Industries grew its EBIT by 17% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kirloskar Industries will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Kirloskar Industries actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Kirloskar Industries's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Kirloskar Industries's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - Kirloskar Industries has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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