Stock Analysis

Jindal Steel & Power Limited Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Published
NSEI:JINDALSTEL

Jindal Steel & Power Limited (NSE:JINDALSTEL) just released its first-quarter report and things are looking bullish. Jindal Steel & Power beat earnings, with revenues hitting ₹136b, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 19%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Jindal Steel & Power

NSEI:JINDALSTEL Earnings and Revenue Growth July 27th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Jindal Steel & Power from 24 analysts is for revenues of ₹548.1b in 2025. If met, it would imply a modest 7.3% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to increase 9.7% to ₹60.14. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹558.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹63.98 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at ₹1,012, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Jindal Steel & Power at ₹1,240 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹500. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Jindal Steel & Power's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 9.9% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 8.6% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 11% per year. It's clear that while Jindal Steel & Power's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Jindal Steel & Power. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹1,012, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Jindal Steel & Power going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Jindal Steel & Power , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.