India Glycols Limited (NSE:INDIAGLYCO) Shares Fly 28% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
India Glycols Limited (NSE:INDIAGLYCO) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 44% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, India Glycols may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.3x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 34x and even P/E's higher than 66x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for India Glycols as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for India Glycols
How Is India Glycols' Growth Trending?
India Glycols' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 38% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 58% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's understandable that India Glycols' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price move, India Glycols' P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of India Glycols revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for India Glycols (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.
You might be able to find a better investment than India Glycols. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:INDIAGLYCO
India Glycols
A green petrochemical company, engages in the manufacture and sale of industrial chemicals in India.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.