The board of Goodluck India Limited (NSE:GOODLUCK) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ₹4.00 on the 24th of October, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This takes the annual payment to 0.3% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.
Goodluck India's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Goodluck India is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 34.8% if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 6.6% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
View our latest analysis for Goodluck India
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ₹0.30 total annually to ₹4.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 30% per annum over that time. Goodluck India has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Goodluck India has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 35% per annum. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.
In Summary
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Goodluck India will make a great income stock. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Goodluck India (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about. Is Goodluck India not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Goodluck India might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.