Benign Growth For GHCL Limited (NSE:GHCL) Underpins Its Share Price
When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 35x, you may consider GHCL Limited (NSE:GHCL) as a highly attractive investment with its 7.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
GHCL could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for GHCL
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on GHCL will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, GHCL would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 29%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 157% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 14% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 25%, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that GHCL is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From GHCL's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that GHCL maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for GHCL (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:GHCL
GHCL
Manufactures and sells inorganic chemicals in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.