What Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited's (NSE:FLUOROCHEM) P/E Is Not Telling You
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited's (NSE:FLUOROCHEM) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 61.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 30x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Gujarat Fluorochemicals could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Gujarat Fluorochemicals
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Gujarat Fluorochemicals.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Gujarat Fluorochemicals' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 45% decrease to the company's bottom line. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 27% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 24%, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it interesting that Gujarat Fluorochemicals is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Gujarat Fluorochemicals currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Gujarat Fluorochemicals that we have uncovered.
You might be able to find a better investment than Gujarat Fluorochemicals. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:FLUOROCHEM
Gujarat Fluorochemicals
Engages in the manufacture and trading of bulk chemicals, refrigerant gases, fluorochemicals, fluoropolymers, and allied activities in India, Europe, the United States, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.