Stock Analysis

DCM Shriram (NSE:DCMSHRIRAM) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

NSEI:DCMSHRIRAM
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DCM Shriram Limited (NSE:DCMSHRIRAM) has announced that on 24th of August, it will be paying a dividend of₹3.60, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. The yield is still above the industry average at 1.6%.

Check out our latest analysis for DCM Shriram

DCM Shriram's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, DCM Shriram's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 7.2% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 27% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
NSEI:DCMSHRIRAM Historic Dividend July 7th 2023

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ₹0.40 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of ₹14.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 43% per annum over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. DCM Shriram has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 7.2% per annum. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for DCM Shriram's prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.

Our Thoughts On DCM Shriram's Dividend

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We don't think DCM Shriram is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for DCM Shriram you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.