Stock Analysis

Things Look Grim For Clean Science and Technology Limited (NSE:CLEAN) After Today's Downgrade

NSEI:CLEAN
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The analysts covering Clean Science and Technology Limited (NSE:CLEAN) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously. The stock price has risen 4.6% to ₹1,365 over the past week. We'd be curious to see if the downgrade is enough to reverse investor sentiment on the business.

Following the latest downgrade, Clean Science and Technology's nine analysts currently expect revenues in 2024 to be ₹8.2b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to decline 12% to ₹22.76 in the same period. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹9.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹26.51 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a real cut to earnings per share numbers as well.

View our latest analysis for Clean Science and Technology

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NSEI:CLEAN Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2023

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the ₹1,490 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 1.9% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 24% over the last three years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 11% per year. It's pretty clear that Clean Science and Technology's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Clean Science and Technology's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling in light of the downgrade but, with a serious decline expected this year, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were a bit wary of Clean Science and Technology.

That said, the analysts might have good reason to be negative on Clean Science and Technology, given concerns around earnings quality. Learn more, and discover the 1 other warning sign we've identified, for free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

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Find out whether Clean Science and Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.