Bodal Chemicals (NSE:BODALCHEM) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Bodal Chemicals Limited (NSE:BODALCHEM) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Bodal Chemicals
What Is Bodal Chemicals's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 Bodal Chemicals had ₹4.53b of debt, an increase on ₹2.57b, over one year. However, it also had ₹162.9m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹4.37b.
How Healthy Is Bodal Chemicals' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Bodal Chemicals had liabilities of ₹6.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹1.58b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹162.9m and ₹4.71b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹2.80b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Bodal Chemicals has a market capitalization of ₹14.3b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.2, it's fair to say Bodal Chemicals does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.2 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Even worse, Bodal Chemicals saw its EBIT tank 56% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bodal Chemicals's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Bodal Chemicals burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Bodal Chemicals's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that Bodal Chemicals's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Bodal Chemicals is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About NSEI:BODALCHEM
Bodal Chemicals
Engages in the manufacture and sale of dyestuffs, dyes intermediates, and other chemicals in India.
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.