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We Think Bigbloc Construction (NSE:BIGBLOC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Bigbloc Construction Limited (NSE:BIGBLOC) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Bigbloc Construction
How Much Debt Does Bigbloc Construction Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Bigbloc Construction had ₹604.0m of debt, up from ₹502.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
A Look At Bigbloc Construction's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Bigbloc Construction had liabilities of ₹469.4m due within a year, and liabilities of ₹311.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹5.64m and ₹225.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹550.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Bigbloc Construction is worth ₹1.50b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 0.59 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.2 hit our confidence in Bigbloc Construction like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. More concerning, Bigbloc Construction saw its EBIT drop by 4.6% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bigbloc Construction will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Bigbloc Construction saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Bigbloc Construction's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that Bigbloc Construction's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Bigbloc Construction (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About NSEI:BIGBLOC
Bigbloc Construction
Engages in the manufacture and sale of aerated autoclave concrete (AAC) blocks in India.
Mediocre balance sheet with questionable track record.