Are Astron Paper & Board Mill Limited's (NSE:ASTRON) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?

Astron Paper & Board Mill (NSE:ASTRON) has had a rough three months with its share price down 27%. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. In this article, we decided to focus on Astron Paper & Board Mill's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for Astron Paper & Board Mill

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Astron Paper & Board Mill is:

3.8% = ₹63m ÷ ₹1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each ₹1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made ₹0.04 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Astron Paper & Board Mill's Earnings Growth And 3.8% ROE

It is hard to argue that Astron Paper & Board Mill's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 5.2%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 3.3% seen by Astron Paper & Board Mill over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

So, as a next step, we compared Astron Paper & Board Mill's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 12% in the same period.

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Astron Paper & Board Mill is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Astron Paper & Board Mill Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Astron Paper & Board Mill's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 4 risks we have identified for Astron Paper & Board Mill visit our risks dashboard for free.

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