Stock Analysis

APL Apollo Tubes (NSE:APLAPOLLO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NSEI:APLAPOLLO
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that APL Apollo Tubes Limited (NSE:APLAPOLLO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for APL Apollo Tubes

What Is APL Apollo Tubes's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 APL Apollo Tubes had debt of ₹8.73b, up from ₹5.81b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹3.52b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹5.21b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:APLAPOLLO Debt to Equity History August 16th 2023

How Healthy Is APL Apollo Tubes' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that APL Apollo Tubes had liabilities of ₹21.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹6.66b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹3.52b in cash and ₹1.39b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹23.5b.

Of course, APL Apollo Tubes has a market capitalization of ₹436.8b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. But either way, APL Apollo Tubes has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

APL Apollo Tubes's net debt is only 0.46 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 11.7 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also positive, APL Apollo Tubes grew its EBIT by 27% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine APL Apollo Tubes's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, APL Apollo Tubes created free cash flow amounting to 12% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Happily, APL Apollo Tubes's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like APL Apollo Tubes is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for APL Apollo Tubes you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:APLAPOLLO

APL Apollo Tubes

Manufactures and sells structural steel tubes in India.

Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.

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