Earnings Not Telling The Story For HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited (NSE:HDFCLIFE)
When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 32x, you may consider HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited (NSE:HDFCLIFE) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 77.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
HDFC Life Insurance could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for HDFC Life Insurance
Keen to find out how analysts think HDFC Life Insurance's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is HDFC Life Insurance's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like HDFC Life Insurance's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 15% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 37% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 16% per year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's alarming that HDFC Life Insurance's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From HDFC Life Insurance's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that HDFC Life Insurance currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for HDFC Life Insurance that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:HDFCLIFE
HDFC Life Insurance
Provides individual and group insurance solutions in India.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.